Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format

26 May 2020 Johannes Bracher Evan L. Ray Tilmann Gneiting Nicholas G. Reich

For practical reasons, many forecasts of case, hospitalization and death counts in the context of the current COVID-19 pandemic are issued in the form of central predictive intervals at various levels. This is also the case for the forecasts collected in the \textit{COVID-19 Forecast Hub} (\url{https://covid19forecasthub.org/})... (read more)

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  • APPLICATIONS
  • POPULATIONS AND EVOLUTION