Learning and forecasting of age-specific period mortality via B-spline processes with locally-adaptive dynamic coefficients

no code yet • 24 Sep 2022

The overarching focus on predictive accuracy in mortality forecasting has motivated an increasing shift towards more flexible representations of age-specific period mortality trajectories at the cost of reduced interpretability.

Applications

TWEETS

Modeling Urban/Rural Fractions in Low- and Middle-Income Countries

no code yet • 21 Sep 2022

In low- and middle-income countries, household surveys are the most reliable data source to examine health and demographic indicators at the subnational level, an exercise in small area estimation.

Methodology

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Structural mean models for instrumented difference-in-differences

no code yet • 21 Sep 2022

Progress can be made if there is an exogenous variable that (i) does not directly influence the change in outcome means (i. e. the outcome trend) except through influencing the change in exposure means (i. e. the exposure trend), and (ii) is not related to the unmeasured exposure - outcome confounders on the trend scale.

Methodology

TWEETS