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Learning and forecasting of age-specific period mortality via B-spline processes with locally-adaptive dynamic coefficients
The overarching focus on predictive accuracy in mortality forecasting has motivated an increasing shift towards more flexible representations of age-specific period mortality trajectories at the cost of reduced interpretability.
Applications
Modeling Urban/Rural Fractions in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
In low- and middle-income countries, household surveys are the most reliable data source to examine health and demographic indicators at the subnational level, an exercise in small area estimation.
Methodology
Structural mean models for instrumented difference-in-differences
Progress can be made if there is an exogenous variable that (i) does not directly influence the change in outcome means (i. e. the outcome trend) except through influencing the change in exposure means (i. e. the exposure trend), and (ii) is not related to the unmeasured exposure - outcome confounders on the trend scale.
Methodology
